A proven, cost-effective, satellite program with profoundly positive impacts on weather prediction skill. NOAA requested a small amount of COSMIC-2 funding in the FY11 and FY12 budgets but these requests were turned down by Congress, delaying the program and threatening the partnership. According to her testimony in Congress, CEO Miglarese wants NOAA to reject COSMIC and sign a contract with her firm committing NOAA to purchase their services. Reject a proven system that is heavily supported by another country to commit to a firm that has no proven track record in financing and launching such a satellite constellation. Ans in addition to tracking GPS, COSMIC-2 will also track GLONASS (the Russian system) and GALILEO (European system) navigation systems, which will considerably increase the number of soundings per COSMIC-2 satellite. Improvements in antenna design and signal tracking algorithm will provide better quality data. And the receiving satellite can be quite inexpensive, since all they have to do is receive the GPS signal. Relatively inexpensive satellites in low earth orbit (LEO) receive the signal from GPS satellites placed in orbit for navigation. In 2006 the first six satellites (COSMIC-1) were launched and they were an extraordinary success.

The Cosmic-2 coverage is far denser than Cosmic-1 over the entire planet. The potential for a potentially significant storm system over the March 26-30 period remains alive. Model guidance has dropped the idea of two storms on March 20th in Japan, and appears to be going with one storm instead. In an earlier post, I had addressed the idea of two strong storms in this timeframe. If we look at the long range GFS jet stream forecast for March 26th, the beginning of this four day timeframe where a storm is expected, we see a few things. As for the storm track, the jet stream should shift at least slightly south, bringing Chicago, Des Moines, Detroit into possible target zones for snowstorms. The primary thing we want to discuss is the active subtropical jet stream. These commentaries make the rounds among traders and analysts two or three times a week.

Of the two sources of error (i.e., analysis and model), simulating model uncertainty is particularly daunting. Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) finding that even the limited initial system was the one of the most valuable sources of information for improving forecasts (see graphic showing the GPS satellite data was fifth in importance for the European Center). These people will be trusted with important tasks, secrets, classified information etc. Their partners will value them more than ever this year. It is an understatement to say that people are confused about cloud seeding. If you don’t plan well enough ahead, you may not have the funds, resources or people that you need to help you navigate tough economic or industry related conditions. For pet hair, especially in cover and upholstery, you’ll need a vacuum cleaner that packs an effective punch, yet in addition accompanies fittings that assistance that suction truly get in among the cover filaments to haul out tangled-in creature hair. Cannot rule out small hail and occasional gusty winds. If yes, you can check out our latest ‘Intro to Data Science’ course to kickstart your journey in data science. After the failure, the team is figuring out the mistakes and tactics diligently and the players are serious.

Thoughts on this watch are unchanged, as this update is concerning the potential for a Level 1 Severe T-Storm Watch we had mentioned at the end of our main discussion posted this afternoon. As for the potential severe t-storm watch. Level 1 watch to be issued. Level 2 Tornado Watch remains in effect for South Texas. Freezing rain and plain rain will continue early this morning before gradually changing to all rain from south to north through from mid-to-late morning. But, if you suffer a flat tire, and have no repair kit, you will be stuck until the tire is fixed. Bill Kuo and Richard Anthes, have played an important role in the organization, management, and development of this satellite system. General Accounting Office (GAO) has identified the weather satellite gap as a high-risk threat to the nation (GAO info here). The tundra swan is rare to see in winter in Tennessee, however it is the most likely to be found in the state during warmer weather.

Oddly enough, the precipitation composite is very similar to that of the El Nino winter. Now that we are entering into a positive PDO that looks like it won’t be going away anytime in the next several weeks, let’s see what the positive PDO composites for temperature and precipitation look like. The top image shows precipitation trends in positive PDO years, with the bottom image depicting temperature trends in positive PDO years. The ’92-’93 winter had many of these things along with a positive NAO similar to that of this year. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), a major driver of weather patterns, especially in the winter, has turned positive recently. When analyzing the structure of the MJO phase space chart, I went over the circle in the middle, where an MJO phase can’t be determined definitely because the oscillation is too weak at that point in time. In mid-continent earthquakes the energy builds up slowly over a long period of time and the released energy is very high.