The forecast 9 am surface plot (below) shows the pronounced cold front moving eastward and about to exit Pima County – with the rain band located along and behind the front. The composite radar echo forecast above is valid at 9 am MST and indicates the main rainband with the system to be moving across eastern Pima County. The Hurricane Miriam situation remains as the main focus for the rest of the week. Update Wednesday 26 September – The latest NHC forecast (added below the other forecasts at the bottom of this post) for now TS Miriam has continued to change quite substantially. The latest forecast has kept Hurricane Miriam on the same track, but slowed down her speed. The result is that the forecast for Sunday morning indicates Miriam still offshore south of the Baja spur. The forecast now indicates Miriam to drift slowly northward fairly far west of Baja – this is similar to the behavior of TS Kristy during the latter stages of her life. Summary of the weather event so far here in Tucson. So, the dangers inherent in 5 day or longer forecasting are well illustrated here. That means the lowest temperatures forecasted for each area throughout the 384 hours that the model forecasts for are put on this image.

The WRF-GFS forecasts the event to impact the Tucson metro area tomorrow morning. So, it appears that a damp and chilly weather event is on tap for Valentine’s Day. However, none of these methods appears to be general enough to be used with much reliability in all areas. My family are still looking for our lost dog (and we continue to get some reports)–we so much appreciate your expressions of support and suggestions. Using a 6-10 day gap between a significant East Asia storm and an East US storm, the chances of more coastal storms are on the rise. The proximity of the front and dry line to the low pressure system lead me to believe that any storms that form may be influenced by the low pressure system’s wind field, thus possibly enhancing the risk for tornadoes. The water industry is another obvious business that is influenced by the climate.

The water vapor image (above, for 14 UTC) shows the upper-tropospheric short-wave to be a bit north of San Francisco. As is shown above, a lobe of elevated vorticity is shown offshore the west coast of Colorado, with a small area of higher vorticity immediately close to the northern California coast where the earthquake occurred. Its close proximity to the US will most likely allow propagation of high pressure westward, partially on land, where it will raise the jet stream and permit warmer air to flow north. Keep the cooler handy and have it close by so you do not have to stop the car and rummage through the back just to get something to eat. The DIANA-microT 3.0 algorithm considers as MREs, those UTR sites that have 7-, 8- or 9-nt long consecutive WC base pairing with the miRNA, starting from position 1 or 2 from the 5′end of the miRNA.

They can change the game in one pitch, which could spell trouble for the Cardinals if the Braves continue to get on base at the same rate as the regular season (.336 Team OBP). Image below shows total accumulated snowfall forecast by the model for the same period. The model develops marginal CAPE in the same areas next two days. The high temperature at TUS reached only 97F, after 4 days of 100F or just over. Patients with all three types of arthritis experienced more pain on days when the temperature was low while people in the control group were unaffected by weather changes. On the other hand, a rambunctious jet stream will have the tendency to fight the high pressure formation in the Atlantic, leading to a back-and-forth temperature pattern. The temperature battle zone for the US will most likely fall along the East Coast through the winter season, as I anticipate increased probabilities of high pressure formation in the waters east of the Mid-Atlantic. Such a placement of the high pressure would put the most cold and snow over the Northeast US by the polar vortex sliding into the region (more on the cold than the snow).

In this forecast the darker red shades indicate snow amounts of more than 40 inches. Reports that details of the National Security Agency (NSA) are spying on citizens through phones and internet are becoming more known. Curtice and his team are looking for the change in votes, not just the headline result. Slip-on rubber ice creepers are inexpensive and fit easily over most boots. 1. The Plains could receive the strongest cold over the winter season. It is quite possible we see the emergence of a hyper-active coastal storm regime over the upcoming winter season. A brief background on why we’re focusing on the Bering Sea so much here: The potential for a significant winter storm evolves out of the Bering Sea for this forecast. Yesterday afternoon there were isolated, very light showers around southeastern Arizona, much as forecast by the models. The event is forecast to be mostly one with light precipitation and showers. The WRF-GFS forecasts are similar to those this morning by the NWS NAM model wrt the light character of the event, but are several hours faster than the NAM. The current best membrane-protein topology-prediction methods are typically based on sequence statistics and contain hundreds of parameters that are optimized on known topologies of membrane proteins.