Northwestern and a graduate degree from Yale Divinity School! Although Harry did not have a degree in atmospheric sciences (he had a B.A. We can all see the advantages that such predictions could have. On Colon Avenue you can travel northbound into the neighboring city of Uriangato with each side of the street providing an overwhelming amount of clothing options or travel southbound into downtown Moroleon. A few years ago I ran around the city with a bunch of 101 students in specially instrumented cars–temperatures varied by 15-20F on a cold winter night! A few times I went out with him in public. For this precipitation type, the sampling of PL observations is comparatively limited (761) and there are relatively few mPING observations that are within 15 km of trained observations. The natural mineral springs are home to many salt lick sites which still draws deer to the area. I still remember that carrot cake fondly. The local chapter of the American Meteorological Society would meet at KIRO once a year and Harry always supplied a nice carrot cake.

He was a mainstay of the local weather community and secured substantial funding from KIRO to invite a distinguished meteorologist to town each year. The only time there was a slight bit of tension between me and Harry was when I had my 101 students write down the forecasts of all the local TV stations and scored them compared to the Weather Service. None of the stations were statistically better than the Weather Service, but another station had beaten KIRO. Historically, the ECMWF has a better forecasting record, but the GFS has been catching up recently. Here’s what I think will be crucial in determining if the ECMWF will work. Having a plan will help to make the daily heat more bearable. Taking help at the right time with voodoo removal is recommended. The numerical prediction technology at that time was fairly primitive and without much skill for such events. The MIT team began to think that autistic children may not have the same computational abilities when it comes to prediction.

This means that you will have to start all over again for the next week with no real guarantee at all that you are even working the formula out correctly. The temperatures experienced are not as low as would be in case of continental polar air but can dip as low as freezing point. As this storm system moves into the Great Lakes, if the GFS verifies, we could see a nasty cold outbreak across the Plains, Midwest, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley if cold air is indeed available. 24 hours later, we see our system has now moved into the Midwest, pushed in that direction by the Southeast ridge being shown to the east of Florida. Not really anything significant to note at this time other than a progressive negative PNA pattern showing up, something likely to change as this system moves east. The cool colors show lowered pressures (indicative of a storm system), and warmer colors show raised pressures, which typically show a quieter pattern. The pattern that was ongoing when this system emerged from the Rockies was a negative PNA, meaning that the system goes into the Plains or into the Deep South. Our system is that one emerging from the Rockies, with a central pressure of 993 millibars, meaning it is a fairly strong storm.

Our Southeast ridge is present, meaning the East Coast isn’t so likely to see this storm. Moving into the early morning of December 21st, we see the storm system has now entered the East Great Lakes with a minimum pressure 993 millibars. This is what shocks me: the nature that this storm system takes. Further into the Northeast, heavier snowfall appears prone to occur as strengthening takes place along the Atlantic. Now, on the morning of December 22nd, we see our system has shifted into the Northeast, with a minimum pressure nearing 980 millibars. On the morning of December 22nd, we see our storm system has now bombed out to 971 millibars- a very strong storm system for an on-land system. Above, we see the December 19th afternoon forecast of sea level pressure (SLP) anomalies. As I said above, the system will leave the Rockies in the midst of a brief PNA phase change, from negative to positive. Also note the storm system in the Southeast that is likely to swing up the coast.

It is with great sadness that I note the passing of Harry Wappler, the dean of Northwest weathercasters for over a quarter century. They need over twenty year experience in astrology. We conclude that although the sunspot number is a general proxy for many space hazards, there is surprisingly little direct need for its accurate prediction or for the prediction of solar flares as such. Equally, we may ask whether there is a certain resolution (e.g. 20 km), where it might be feasible to represent small-scale motions using stochastic equations, rather than trying to resolve them? In certain areas, a building inspector might drop by and OK your plans for garage renovation and ultimately award you with a certificate of completion. We now see a high pressure system in the West US and the Rockies. Netscape was now supported by AOL. Making dirt bike tracks is definitely very rewarding as well as being a considerable amount of fun. I got to know him quite well when I returned to UW to join the atmospheric sciences faculty.