The Single Chair Weather Blog

Plowable snow is spread from the Northeast to the Mid-Atlantic, but it is West Virginia and the state of Virginia that gets hammered with as much as 36.6” of snow, per the graphic above. There continues to be a very large spread in the global model forecasts, meaning that there is a considerable range of weather possibilities for southern Arizona (and California) as the storm moves northward. This continues to be a situation where we will just have to watch how things progress. Place the battery powered fan on a stable surface where it has no danger of falling into the reef aquarium but will blow right across the top of the fish tank. Active in track, volleyball, softball, and basketball, her activities included 4-H. She was also the top of her class at Connersville High School. The high temperature at TUS reached only 97F, after 4 days of 100F or just over. In the image above, we see a stripe of below-normal sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies from the coast of Ecuador to the 180-degree longitude line.

Above normal sea surface temperatures off the East Coast also help these chances. 3 intensity yesterday and is currently (see IR image above from 1130 UTC this morning) a Cat. Finally, there have been some ultra-high temps over the inland portions of California, with the warmth extending into Oregon (see graphic). These combined patterns allow the investor to see trends and predict where there will be a swing in the market or stock. This is a point that I will restate in the next several minutes that you read this. On the other hand, a rambunctious jet stream will have the tendency to fight the high pressure formation in the Atlantic, leading to a back-and-forth temperature pattern. As I mentioned in my Preliminary winter forecast, my analog package and long range models remain steadfast on the idea of a strong East Asian jet stream this winter. A stronger jet stream would increase the potential of stormier weather in that area. Its close proximity to the US will most likely allow propagation of high pressure westward, partially on land, where it will raise the jet stream and permit warmer air to flow north. After analysis of correlations, the analog package confirms that the mid level atmospheric flow could experience multiple bouts where the jet stream collapses south and engages the Plains in some seriously cold air.

This morning’s 500 mb analysis from NCAR is shown below. The ECMWF 168-hour 500 mb forecast valid at 1200 UTC this morning (Monday, March 19th) is shown above. The latest forecast has kept Hurricane Miriam on the same track, but slowed down her speed. The Hurricane Miriam situation remains as the main focus for the rest of the week. 2 hurricane. The storm is moving a bit more slowly than was forecast yesterday, and remains south of Latitude 20N. The forecast from NHC this morning remains similar to that of yesterday. Yesterday afternoon there were isolated, very light showers around southeastern Arizona, much as forecast by the models. The general forecast is quite good, although there are many smaller scale details that were not captured in the forecast. Update – edited to add the NHC 8 am forecast (down at bottom). Meanwhile, down here in the Southwest, November ends having produced only 0.16″ of rain here at the house – a tad better than than the 0.02″ of October. The forecast 9 am surface plot (below) shows the pronounced cold front moving eastward and about to exit Pima County – with the rain band located along and behind the front.

The composite radar echo forecast above is valid at 9 am MST and indicates the main rainband with the system to be moving across eastern Pima County. The early (midnight) run of Atmo’s WRF-GFS model forecasts this to be a fast hitting system here in southeast Arizona. This is likely an experimental model not intended for operational use, so confidence is already low. The WRF-GFS forecasts are similar to those this morning by the NWS NAM model wrt the light character of the event, but are several hours faster than the NAM. The model develops marginal CAPE in the same areas next two days. Not everyone who finds themselves less productive on gloomy days has Seasonal Affective Disorder. The Future History of the Internet as a Medium The internet is simply the latest in a series of networks which revolutionized our lives. Look at your local listings or on the internet.

With that in mind let us now give you an overview of some of the many different aspects of each match and team our experts look into on every single match they are reviewing and giving predictions on. NOTE: Keep in mind these are only HINTS and do NOT resemble my current forecast at this time. The forecast now indicates Miriam to drift slowly northward fairly far west of Baja – this is similar to the behavior of TS Kristy during the latter stages of her life. Current Atmo early WRF-GFS forecast brings higher PW northward but keeps it along the Borderlands and into southwest Arizona. Update Wednesday 26 September – The latest NHC forecast (added below the other forecasts at the bottom of this post) for now TS Miriam has continued to change quite substantially. The storm has weakened and moved west of earlier track forecasts. The storm is forecast to reach central Baja over the weekend.